Quantification of Credal Uncertainty: A Distance-Based Approach

📰 ArXiv cs.AI

A distance-based approach is proposed to quantify total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty for credal sets in machine learning

advanced Published 31 Mar 2026
Action Steps
  1. Define credal sets as closed convex sets of probability measures
  2. Propose a distance-based approach to quantify uncertainty
  3. Apply the approach to multiclass classification problems
  4. Evaluate the effectiveness of the approach in capturing total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty
Who Needs to Know This

Machine learning researchers and practitioners can benefit from this approach to better understand and quantify uncertainty in their models, particularly in multiclass classification scenarios

Key Insight

💡 Credal sets can be used to represent aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning

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